Most bettors are generally wagering on good teams that can pass, teams with solid quarterback, while placing bets on pro football.

Does it really have a advantageous impact on game outcome, or is it just bettor mistake again
Lets begin wide with this one, taking a look at teams which averagely have more passing yards than their current opposition.

The result is 49,1% win against the spread.

They are wrong,one might say. Don't assume they are not right on which team should win the game. Cause these squads are favs more often than underdogs. Amateur handicappers don't understand the numbers of betting. One must every time compare teams vs line, and not only vs. other team. On average game 70% of amateur bettors lay their green on favourites.

What if that superior passing squad is by at least 50 yards better averagely. Gets somewhat worse then - they cover the line 48,6% of time. You would come to similar results if you look at teams offensive and defensive passing yards. Those which have better passing offense than defense, are not covering the spread likewise .

And what if we mix those two elements together The results follow.
1. Team has bigger offensive yardage that defensive and has better offensive passing game than current opponent - 48,4% against the spread on big sample.
2. Same as above, just with at least 50 yards more this time - 46,7 % against the spread.

Now here is the point: don't put too much on passing capability, it moves the line. Good passing squads clearly get too much respect from casual cappers.

Hey, but what about solid defensive teams that won't concede too many passes Hm, i think we might be on something. Teams allowing less passing yards than their opposition are 50,8%. Looks like we got it right this time. The moral

Amateur wagerers enjoy to bet on teams with QBs passing it much and far. It looks good, and helps casual cappers believe in their team, but they actually should bet the other way around.

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